Scrap metal will soon become very expensive

After two or three years, Ukraine will cease to export and begin to actively purchase scrap metal in price, according to the analyst of the Delphica project Yuri Dobrovolsky in the forecast balance of the harvesting and consumption of ferrous metal scrap in Ukraine until 2020. "

Three years later, a deficiency of metal scrap in Ukraine will double. If today the lack of scrap metal in metallurgical production is estimated at 537 thousand tons, then over the next three years the deficit will be more than a million tons, and in 2020, the metallurgists will have to purchase about three and a half million tons of scrap.

According to the data given in the document, the pace of the workpiece of scrap metal is very far behind the growth rate of steel production. Upon preservation of today's indicators, the largest scrap will be assembled in 2018 and will be 5 million 800 thousand tons, while the need for metallurgy will reach 9 million tons by this time.

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The combination of factors of deficiency and growth in demand in the future will cause a significant increase in prices for metal scrap in the domestic market of Ukraine. “The period of 2015-2017 will be turning,” says Yuri Dobrovolsky, ““ The only way to block the insufficient volumes of this raw material will be the import of scrap, and the use of alternative raw materials, such as DRI. ”

“The country's rapid and large -scale implementation of large infrastructure projects may affect a reduction in scrap deficit,” said the director of the Ukrpromvneschekspetiza, Vladimir Vlasuk - “Ukraine has a powerful metal fund, which has long needs to be updated. If such projects will be implemented in the housing and communal services, Ukrainian metallurgists will receive a heavy depreciation scrap, which will weaken the voltage in the raw materials harvesting market. "