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Assofermet Akcai: Italian market cautious in September amid regulatory uncertainty and selective demand

Ассофермет Акчаи: Итальянский рынок в сентябре осторожен на фоне неопределенности регулирования и избирательного спроса
In September, the Italian steel market showed mixed dynamics: the initial revival of consumer interest was quickly replaced by a new slowdown. According to Assofermet Acciai's latest market report dated October 10, operators are now focusing on procurement programs for the first half of 2026 due to the upcoming implementation of the Carbon Boundary Regulation Mechanism (CBAM). The lack of clear guidance from the European Commission on the parameters needed to calculate the corresponding costs encourages many buyers to anticipate their orders in order to avoid potential additional costs.

In addition to concerns about CBAM, market sentiment is also being affected by the upcoming ruling, which will replace the current protective measure, as well as the recently announced anti-dumping investigation into cold-rolled products originating from key exporting countries to Europe. Union. Against this background, several European manufacturers have temporarily suspended their commercial offerings, awaiting greater clarity in order to better plan their pricing strategies.

For stainless steel service centers, September ended with sales volumes below expectations and profitability is still under pressure. The beginning of October has not yet shown concrete signs of a recovery in demand, although some early signs of renewed consumer interest suggest a possible gradual stabilization of prices.

Overall, September showed moderately positive results: sales volumes increased from year to year, but showed significant differences between the segments. Recycling demand remains selective, especially in construction, while some product families such as beams and hollow profiles continue to perform better. However, expectations for the fourth quarter are more cautious: the slowdown in the German market and the weak performance of the French market are putting pressure on sentiment, which is reflected in domestic demand.

In the tinplate segment, competition from foreign suppliers - especially from Asia and India - remains strong, although the increasing availability of materials of European origin and the costs associated with CBAM reduce the competitiveness of imported products. A new steel protection measure recently announced by the European Commission, which provides for halving import quotas and imposing a 50% duty on volumes exceeding these limits, can help support demand for European steel, provided that supply conditions remain balanced and sustainable throughout the value chain.

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